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xPhenom08x said:

The funny part about this market confusion and late peak nonsense is the Switch sold more in its first year than WiiU did lifetime. The Switch also sold like 3 million its first year in Japan, ask Playstation how hard that is for home consoles. The market was never confused, that is just you. 3ds userbase was clearly already supporting Switch, it doesn't sell like it does in its first year with just Nintendo home console purchasers. It's first year is better than the PS4s first year. Will probably be too high for PS5s as well. This is the type of conclusion you come to when you are only interested in an agenda. Real market analysis would look at its performance and never entertain the idea of 3ds owners not buying a clearly portable platform from Nintendo(Switch) from the very beginning. 

What is the correlation between Switch outselling Wii U with anything I've said in my post? What's the correlation with Sony, PS4 sales or PS5 sales in Japan whatsoever? I'm curious, what "agenda" do I have exactly? You seem more aware of it that I do

Of course 3DS userbase was supporting Switch, but it wasn't a quick replacement. Switch is not BC to 3DS, unlike 3DS from DS or DS from GBA. It was not a hardware that made the hardware that came before irrelevant, that was still reasons to get a 3DS in early Switch life and late adopters of 3DS of course had many reasons to wait until the truth about what IPs were coming to Switch or not. 

Heck, I didn't even said that I don't think Switch is the replacement from 3DS, merely stated we should not expect the drops from Switch after Switch 2 launch being the same of 3DS, rather to expect DS-level YoY drops. 

Edit: This is actually WRONG, ignore it:

3DS was still moving 2.5 million in the year of 2019 when the system was already 8 years old. At 8 years old DS was selling a quarter of this number, and the DS sold about two times more than 3DS. This was because 3DS was a complete direct replacement, after the first price it made DS virtually irrelevant. Switch came later on 3DS life than 3DS came into DS life and somehow 3DS managed to keep resilient sales, if Nintendo strategy for next gen is merely similar to Sony I will not be surprised if Switch see a 75% decrease YoY just as PS4 is likely to suffer

Last edited by IcaroRibeiro - on 01 November 2021