Predict Switch 2021 sales (calendar year)

[javi741]

ShadowLink93 said:

javi741 said:

In terms of shipments, so far the Switch sold 4.72 & 4.45 the first 2 Quarters of the calender year bringing the total to 9.17 so far this year. I'm expecting another 4 Million shipped in Q3 then 11 Million for the holiday quarter. Which adds up to around 24 Million Sold for this calendar year

4 million is a little low for me and would be very dissapointing. Nintendo Always ship way more than they sell in Fiscal Year Q2 in preparation for the holiday build up. Looking at vgchartz sell through data for FYQ2 confirms this, this is sell through figures versus shipments for all Q2's for NSW. 2017 sold 2.13m shipped 2.93m, 2018 sold 2.48m, shipped 3.19m, 2019 sold 3.41m shipped 4.80m, 2020 sold 5.14m shipped 6.86m, 2021 sold 3.87m shipped 5.30m?. As you can see shipments are always 30% to 40% higher than sold through. Q2 is the only quarter where shipments always outnumber sold through and by a big margin. In 2019 NSW sold through 460k less than this year but still shipped 4.80m, if this trend continues then the 3.87m sold through vgchartz estimates should translate into about 5.30m shipped. And i also hope the holiday does more than 11m, i'm hoping it will break the 11.89m record of DS and this is probably the last chance Switch has of breaking it before sales inevitably taper off.

Good point, I'll raise my forecast to 25 Million now