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Farsala said:
tbone51 said:

)

I compare to the DS, since people expect DS numbers, 33m.

The 3DS had an artificial sales curve due to the first year price cut. But it still represents just how hard consoles may drop in Japan.

NSW year 7 and 8 probably won't be that good either as the next successor should be announced by then.

Funny you mention NSW year 7 and 8 won’t be that good due to the next console right? Wel let’s see how that treated 3ds shall we? 

YEAR: 3DS ———— NSW

Year5: 2.189.900 — 5.800.000 

Year6: 1.874.457 — 3.200.000 (-45% YoY)

Year7: 1.827.131 —  2.000.000 (-38% YoY)

Year8: 566.420 — 1.000.000 (-50% YoY)

what this tells you is that for 3ds even with NSW announced in oct of year 6 and released in March of year 7, 3ds still sold that year 1.8mil with 0.56mil afterwards. Now look at NSW with not even that low numbers. With those estimates I have that would mean almost 30mil and that’s unlikely since that’s more of the floor