Famitsu sales: Week 43, 2021 - (18th Oct - 24th Oct)

[tbone51]

Farsala said:

PAOerfulone said:

TBF, 2022 is looking very promising for the Switch in Japan:

- Higher stock for the OLED model.
- Pokemon Legends Arceus
- Splatoon 3 
- Monster Hunter Rise: Sunbreak expansion
- Kirby and the Forgotten Land
- Breath of the Wild 2

And smaller stuff like Triangle Strategy and Bayonetta 3 to back up the big guns.

And that’s just the stuff we know about! We’re due for a new Fire Emblem, DKC, 3D Mario, and/or maybe even Pokemon Gen 9.

I’m aware that the Switch is beginning to reach the latter phase of its cycle, but 2022 has the potential, at least in Japan, to be its best year to date.

System sellers become less effective the older a system gets, especially in Japan.

The DS shipped in 14 quarters 22.38m, so sell through would be about the Switch numbers now.

Switch is now on its 20th quarter.

So about 6 quarters behind, 33m is definitely going to be difficult.

That’s one way of lookin at it but it doesn’t mean it’s correct. If you apply the same logic to 3ds and NSW, then NSW looks like it’ll end just above 26mil, and hit 27mil or so. NSW and the 3DS just crossed paths and was about the same after 17 quarters. 2 quarters later and NSW is 2mil+ ahead of 3ds without this quarter ending yet. In fact weekly sales NSW year 5 is above 3ds year 5/6/7 combine.

That said the difference between NSW and DS is the sales trajectory, as DS is somewhere around 5.5mil ahead aligned, DS year 6/7/8 are the following (MC numbers)

2010: 2.872.621 
2011: 657.815 
2012: 68.973 

(DS has an extra quarter though)