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src said:

If PS5 sells 9-10M and 60-80M software then its continued what the PS3 and PS4 generally did, showing that there is a stable userbase in Japan.

That would be stable, but nothing impressive. It's the least it should reach, as less than 10M is rather low in Japan.

Also, even with digital, it doesn't look like we're getting anywhere close those software numbers anytime soon.