The_Liquid_Laser said:
How do you expect it to be down 10% for the full year when it is only down 7.5% right now? Switch had nothing special going for it from Oct - Dec in 2020. This year has OLED and Pokemon. All indicators say, even if Switch is down in 2021, it will be less than a 7.5% drop. In fact, it is more likely to be up YoY in 2021. Do you have a way to calculate how severe the chip shortage will be? That's the only thing that could make Switch be down, and even then it would have to be pretty severe for everyone (not just Nintendo). |
That's just it though, last year they weren't facing a chip crunch. Also this year's holiday lineup, while definitely stronger than 2020, still isn't as strong as it could be, with Pokemon being a remake, SMT being niche, Mario Party being a collection of old boards and games, and both being franchises already represented on Switch.
All that's not to say they won't have a great holiday, they certainly will. I just can't see it quite managing to close the gap with 2020. Still, just getting close to one the best years of any system ever is still mighty impressive, especially for a system in its 5th year.
