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curl-6 on 10 October 2021
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Dulfite said:
zorg1000 said:

Define "has been losing a lot of momentum the second half of this year"

They literally announced the OLED model in the first week of H2, 3 months before release, of course that would impact sales over the summer.

It's only down ~9% YoY with last year still high on the Animal Crossing+Covid boost. It's up ~60% compared to 2019 and ~100% compared to 2018.

Being slightly behind one of the greatest years in history is not "losing a lot of momentum".

It is for those that had the ridiculous notion that Switch 2021 fiscal year would make Switch 2020 fiscal year dwarfed. People that were expecting 30-35 mil+ for the fiscal year lol. Also, I think the OLED caused a slight dip, but I suspect most of it is the fact that it is an old system now and the market is aware of it. I suspect a very front-loaded OLED buy-in from the market, followed by a siginificant drop-off in the OLED's popularity compared to the base Switch. I think, in the end, Switch 1 would have sold 110-120 million without the OLED and they will do the same with OLED, hopefully followed by Switch 2's launch in 2023, a full 6 years after Switch 1 and a normal life cycle.

Zorg beat me to it but I was gonna so, how many people actually predicted that? The overwhelming majority seem to have expected a 24-27 million year.