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curl-6 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Switch is down almost 8% YoY.  For those not paying attention that may seem like Switch peaked last year.  However, last year's holiday was pretty poor for Switch in terms of software releases.  I'm expecting Switch to be up YoY by the end of December.  I think once the OLED model releases we'll start seeing a noticeable difference in Switch sales, and Pokemon will drive momentum further.

I'm still uncertain on this.

On the one hand yeah, 2020 had no big holiday game, but the system was still riding the Animal Crossing tsunami.

This year it has a bit less momentum, but stronger holiday games, though nothing as big as, say, Smash in 2018 or getting its first new Pokémon in 2019.

Could go either way I reckon.

This year has something big.  It has new hardware.  Even in the worst case, new hardware will increase sales for several months.  Look at the Switch Lite.  It's not nearly as popular as the base model even in Japan which favors handheld systems.  However, there was a very noticeable boost in sales when it released in 2019.  

OLED model is going to boost sales, and the Pokemon game is a much bigger deal than anything 2020 had in its holiday quarter.  That 8% deficit compared to last year is going to be erased pretty quickly.