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hinch said:
Doctor_MG said:

Just to throw this out there, at the time BotW launched day one for the Switch whereas God of War launched when PS4 already amassed a respectable 80M consoles sold. However, now with the sequels it's different. Switch is at 100M and PS4/5 will be at a combined 140M. In addition, many of the PS5 owners were formerly PS4 owners and game sales tend to slow this late into a consoles lifespan (for PS4 I mean). 

Though I'm not saying it's guaranteed of course, but I think BotW 2 will outsell Ragnorok by a larger difference than BotW 1 outsold God of War (2018). Switch is at it's height whereas Sony's consoles are either losing steam or still building it up. 

BotW has been out for nearly 4 and a half years. I'm sure that the people who wanted to buy the game would have bought it by now. Not sure how you link consoles sales and momentum to software sales. Don't think there's a direct correlation between them tbh.

If we go by official figures we have; NS at 89M, PS4 116M and PS5 currently over 10M respectively (recorded from July). And if that's not counting attachment rate per user/console sold. A lot of NS sales are multiples from the same household - https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2021/05/20-percent-of-switch-sales-now-going-to-households-that-already-had-a-switch/

But anyway speculation aside.. both games will be big hitters. Which is what I wanted to say.

Two points. The first is that sales typically decline over time for a game regardless of whether the console just launched or not. This is why games which launch earlier in the generation generally don't sell as much as games launching midway through a generation. Second, games at the tail end of a consoles life generally sell worse than games that launched at the height of the consoles popularity. God of War 2018 launched at the height of PS4s popularity, Ragnarok will not be. However, that will be mitigated by PS5s presence partially. However, the PS5 is still relatively young and will be at around 30M sold by the time God of War comes along.

Despite my points above BotW still charts and still sells. It's legs are phenomenal and are greater than most games. I believe the sequel legs won't be as great, true, but the factors above also say that Ragnarok has some hurdles as well and at least BotW 2 is launching at the height of the consoles popularity which will be an overall bonus.

I'm sure both games will do exceptionally well, but I'd put money on BotW 2 beating Ragnarok sales wise. But we will see!