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Shadow1980 said:
brute said:

There is Mario Party Superstars as well, but not sure what, if any, impact it will have.

Then there are some smaller titles as well such as Fatal frame, advance war among others.

I think BF deals and Christmas deals will be key in determining if 202q will beat 2020.

Either way. Finishing within 5-10% should be seen as a huge win without a "pro" model or official price cut.

Agreed w/ bolded. The software lineup, while a bit better than last year, doesn't contain any proven system-sellers (in the "causes growth" sense). If the OLED doesn't drive October to some kind of new record for Nintendo, then the holidays outperforming last year could very well come down to what kind of big sales they have.

tbone51 said:

Metroid Dread to break the curse? Shipments in France Day one are 124k. US could be well over 700k,. Week 1 could top 500k imo

Possibly. France is much more Nintendo-friendly than other markets, though, and Metroid could be relatively much more popular there than in a lot of other places. Do we have sales figures of past Metroid titles there?

Not that I can see, but maybe this can be useful for you....

Metroid Dread - 124k (4k is special edition)

Day 1 shipments

WarioWare Get It Together! - 70.000

Metroid Dread - 120.000 Metroid Dread (LE) - 4.000

Amiibo Samus + EMMI - 15.000

Mario Party Superstars - 350.000

Shin Megami Tensei V - 40.000

Game & Watch Zelda - 65.000

Advance Wars 1+2 - 30.000

 

FETH - 50k
Pokémon Legends: Arceus - 200k
Pokémon BDSP - 720k (700k single-sku, 10k double-sku)

Last edited by tbone51 - on 04 September 2021