The problem is expectation and perspective.
Everything was suppose to take X amount of time. In which we get rid of Y amount of people. The intelligence we had suggestion this would work.
Then the afhgan guards got bribed. Then the president ran out. There was a deal on the table for 2 weeks of nothing happening if the President resigned. Instead he ran away and Taliban got what they wanted - without having to wait two weeks.
So that X amount of time to get Y people out? It got crushed. And it getting crushed caused further problems. instead of having to get Y amount of people out - because of the talibans massive surge we not have to deal with Z. These are the people that would have gone later after things were more settles. After Y was already out etc.
Because the Taliban attacked so quickly people got spooked. These people wanted out - and they wanted out now. They are the Z people. So what was two weeks to get Y people out became almost instantly get out Y and Z amount of people. We had to get out way more people way faster than anyone anticipated.
So when I see stuff like " when this is what the US planned for a year" I call out it as BS. Because as far as I can tell no plan would have mattered because we didn't have all the information.
This never would have been less of a disaster than now.
From what I've read, it seems that the more pessimistic range of expected outcomes from the CIA was pretty close to what actually happened. It shouldn't really have caught the United States off guard if we planned for that worst case scenario.
Biden seems to both want to argue that they planned for every scenario, while also kind of saying that this happened a lot quicker than intelligence said it would. Neither of these things seem to be completely true. They didn't seem to be fully prepared for the fall of the Afghanistan government, and this outcome was not altogether unexpected from our intelligence agencies.
If there was even a sliver of a possibility of this happening, why haven't we been fast tracking SIVs for the past six months? I understand that to some degree, blame for that rests on Congress, but the Biden Administration could have and should have pressured them to act sooner. Instead, we had very few evacuations before August 14th which led to the crush we are facing now. This very much could have been mitigated.
I agree that it would not have been possible to completely avoid the chaos that we have seen, but to state that it was impossible to do this better seems unfounded to me.