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TheBraveGallade on 11 August 2021
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Wyrdness said:
Kakadu18 said:

While it is true that every console reaches a saturation point where it won't move alot of hardware anymore, I would like to remark that the Switch as a console is very unusual in the sense that it's a hybrid. Like with the Gameboy back in the day it's not a completely new concept, but for the first time it perfected it.

The true potential of the console isn't a known factor and it can't be compared to a traditional console like the PS4.
Yes, it started dropping, but not because of saturation alone, but because of anticipation of the OLED model and due to not as many people being in lockdown anymore.
That the console will drop harder than any other console ever period in the year where it's most anticipated tiltle will launch in addition to a already known variety of guaranteed multi million sellers, is simply unrealistic and a pipedream.

The hybrid aspect alone makes trying to draw a conclusion on past platforms unreasonable as it's effectively in two markets at once this means that NS is two userbases in one that some what overlap but not fully which means saturation point maybe higher for it compared to all prior platforms which can explain why even with out a price cut it's going to hit 100m and still selling at peak levels.

Simply put expect a massive drop when the is no successor in sight is some what questionable such a drop is more likely going to happen in 2023 than 2022 as next year could see a normal sales performance like 18-19m with the peak gone and even then that's 18-19m on top of a possible 104m that's 122m or so continued sales at a drop still see the platform hitting 135-140m.

this, plus i'd like to call out the fact that switch is selling well in markets that only the wii and DS really sold decently in and brand new markets as well (for nintendo), like europe and china, increasing the saturation point by a lot, while sony has always had most of these markets on lockdown just for itself.