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noshten said:

2020 might catch-up by the end of the Quarter but this year we have OLED, Pokemon, Mario Party, SMT V and a bunch of other games likely to launch in the fall.
Last year it was basically Momotaro, Age of Calamity, Pikmin, as major titles and there weren't that many mid-tier titles either. 

End of the year, I expect Switch sales to be closer to 6.5 million

Yeah this year definitely has a stronger final quarter than 2020, but it has to weather the storm for another 2 and a half months or so to get to the first of its holiday pillars. There's also the risk that if the OLED, like the Lite, proves to be less popular than the base model, manufacturing capacity being spent on it rather than the base will lead to less sell through.

While I certainly hope for 2021 to beat 2020 both in Japan and globally, I feel its gonna be a close one.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 26 July 2021