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AJNShelton on 15 July 2021
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yo33331 said:
curl-6 said:

To use your pie example, I would say Xbox and PS are taking slices from the same pie while the Switch is a separate pie due to it being such a hugely different product, much like Wii and DS.

We are kinda going in circles at this point though, this is ground we've covered previously. At this stage, I think 15m for Switch next year is extremely unlikely. We will simply have to wait and see how 2022 plays out. 

I agree. Like concept and what it's doing is different than traditional console. However it is still a console. And I am talking about the big pie here.

The pie that contains all of the video game buyers/players/sales. That one. Not the handheld/home/hybrid ones. Because that big pie that contains all of them also has some limitations and records how big it can be. It is not infinite.

And yes, we will wait and see. I can give the margin of error and doubt up till max 16-17M for the year.

And also to make it clear. I am making this statement only in the case that PS5/XBXS got in full stock by next year, and switch doesn't receive price cut neither Pro release. If it does then it may reach 20M. If with that also there is still the problem with the stock of the new consoles, then it may reach even close to 25M. Yes, I think this - the number of choices, for big factor of the sales of every console. I have done my prediction based on my opinion that the stock should be in full by next year and that there is small chance of Nintendo doing price cut next year (since the system is selling very good this year) and releasing Pro model (since they are releasing new OLED model this year).

Oh now your argument is that the competition will impact sales. It's still wrong.

Remember: the PS4 had its best year in 2017, the launch year of the Switch, which was a huge success from day one. And sales the following years were still very strong, despite the huge Switch success.