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yo33331 said:
Mandalore76 said:

The drop you are predicting Switch to experience next year is larger than any year on year drop the Wii experienced. 

Yes however drops in sales on consoles become bigger in the last 10 years than they were in 2010 or 2011.

So the drop that Wii had back then or DS in 2011 now will result in something around 15M units sold for the switch next year.

Just like PS4 drop is bigger than PS3. Or the XB1 drop is bigger than 360. Or just like 360 and PS3 dropes were bigger than previous consoles like PS2 or even PS1. Deaths on consoles are more brutal and fast now then they were before 10 or 15 years ago. With the times more and more people learn to jump from one tech to another. Those are the times we are living in.

As I said the thing that can prevent this from happening is 100$ price cut next year for switch or releasing Pro model. This will help steeping the decline.

Oh okay, I understand, you took a very specific situation to extrapole to infinite and beyond.

Here are the facts: covid had a huge impact on production, video game sales were bigger than ever in 2020, and everybody gor their part of the cake.

But it was also the year where the 2 big companies decided to move to another generation, and with chip shortages and production issues, maintaining old gen production and starting new gen production was hard. 

There were consoles shortages everywhere, but Sony and MS decided to stop the production of multiple models to maximise production of new consoles. MS even stopped One X and One SAD production in summer 2020.

So, no, there is no "bigger drop than before", it's just a specific case based on a very specific situation.

Just as your "Switch is used 90% of the time as a handheld" stuff, your analysis is completely wrong.

And I don't understand your point on price cut, you stated earlier it wasn't effective as it was 10 years ago.