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AJNShelton on 10 July 2021
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yo33331 said:
SKMBlake said:

You're way too pessimistic about it.

The "Age of smartphones" was already back in 2017. Actually, the Age of smartphones ware more a thing in 2017 than now, with market being oversaturated, and people getting tired of smartphones after more than 10 years. In 2020, smartphone sales plummed hard, instead people bought a lot of Nintendo Switches.


PS4's best year was in 2017 with 20 million sales at its fourth year, with the launch of the Slim and the Pro. And then sales started to decline.

The Switch sold 29 million in 2020, and is on its way to sell at least more than 25 million in 2021. It's already on a different path. It has the potential to at least sell another 35-40 million, after 2021, where it should end at 105 million. I don't know if it will reach DS level sales, but thinking it will follow PS4's path and that smartphones will harm Switch's sales is not a good analysis IMO.

You haven't understand me correctly. I meant that because the age of the smartphones has come, because of it people have began to change devices more often and therefore once the switch 2 comes out, switch 1 sales will die very fast. Just like pretty much every console did in the last 10 years. Of course smarthphones don't directly affect switch's sales. No one doubt that.

The switch sold 28M in 2020, not 29. And this year will make 25M at best. but 40M after this year ? no way. The switch successor as the things are going now is coming 2023, and after it launches switch will make no more than 10M. Next year will make something like 15 to 18M at the very best. And that's it.

So you think despite being already at more than 10 million so far, and ahead of 2020 sales, and with Zelda Skyward Sword, Metroid 5, Pokémon remake and Mario Party, and the OLED model, the Switch will sell less than 2020 ?