Since Nintendo just went with an XL upgrade instead of a "pro" upgrade I think Switch 2 coming holiday 2024 feels right. Could be spring 2024 but that feels a bit early but certainly possible if they decide to cut off Switch before it really start dropping below very good sales numbers which would probably start in 2024, could be spring 2025 but then they'd need a big 2024 holiday game on Switch and I think any big games being started now will probably have Switch 2 in mind so by holiday 2024 I don't think there will be any more major first party games coming to Switch.
Given a roughly holiday 2024 Switch 2 launch, I think hardware a bit more powerful than PS4/XB1 makes sense, with DLSS to make it 4k so it'd essentially have the graphical output of PS4Pro/XB1X. That feels about right for a 2024 high end portable that launches at a reasonable price. No reason to have something more powerful than that. And with DLSS I'm guessing they could get PS5/XBS games ported over without a ton of compromises (fewer compromises than Switch currently requires for PS4/XB1 games) that run at low resolutions to help with porting with less compromises and then use DLSS to bump it from low res to 1080p, instead of Switch2-made games that would use DLSS to say go from 1080p to 4k. A Switch 2 that can handle console AAA 4k/60+fps games at 1080/30+fps would be pretty great to add to the sort of library Nintendo systems already provide.
With the hoards of money Nintendo will have made off the Switch, plus lower R&D costs for Switch 2 assuming they don't try to get crazy and add in novel things and just go for perfecting the hybrid concept and model design and upgrading power for the successor, launching 4 full years after the other systems, and with the assist of DLSS, I think Nintendo could reasonably build a system that is powerful enough to get the sort of AAA multiplat games that were hard to port or required lots of downgrades to port to Switch this gen. And I would think that would be a goal for Nintendo to increase their 3rd party AAA game library next gen. Then again this is Nintendo, so they'll probably make a system that is just a little bit too weak to get major third party multiplat support.







