Will PS5 and/or XBSS/X outsell Wii U by 2021 end?

[DonFerrari]

JRPGfan said:

DonFerrari said:

PS5 for sure. It is half way there, will be a walk in the park. Xbox won`t likely cross it before March 2022.

And this time around we can`t fault "reveal fiasco". MS production is in line with their sales expectations, so they were nowhere near as optimistic about the sales number as xbox fans on the site.

I read on neogaf that PS5 production is something like ~1,1m pr month, and they basically sell them as fast as they make them currently.
When we got numbers last time (april), from March 31st (I think it was?), it was that it had reached over 8m units sold.

Add another 9 months of like ~1.1m, and PS5 could be around ~18m by years end? (at current production rate) (if they up it, it could go higher)

PS5 is surely makeing it past the Wii U this year.
The XSX/XSS is the real question (theres no doubt the PS5 will).

I think XSX/XSS end up falling short of it (by years end), but again, its mostly down to production.
I think Xbox team, misjudged demand for the XSS, and made more than needed of those, and fewer XSX's.
And their production rate, was conservative, due to how it got burnt last gen with XB1.
They wont be able to make enough units, to reach the Wii U by 2021 in otherwords.

That is basically my expectations. I don't see any significant production ramp up for either system, so Whatever their pace at this moment will roughly be kept until the end of the year with small improvement and sure they may be keeping some of the inventory not shipped to have big holiday.