Doctor_MG on 21 May 2021
| kazuyamishima said: If Nintendo predicted less units shipped for fiscal year 21 compared to FY 20. |
Nintendo originally forecast 19M Switch units for FY2020. They then brought it up three months later to 24M, then again to 26.5. The amount the Switch actually shipped for FY2020 was 28.8M.
In this sense, Nintendo is very likely being purposefully conservative. They can adjust later based on the consistency of demand at month 3 and 6. In addition, even after raising their forecast to 26.5M just in February they still managed to ship 2.3M more consoles than they forecast. In other words, what they are forecasting is not necessarily going to be the end result, so we might never see a decrease.
