Global Hardware May 2-8 - Switch Sales Top 85 Million

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Slownenberg said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Back in January, I wasn't sure if Switch could keep up this kind of pace, but now I'm a believer.  NSW 2021 is still ahead of NSW 2020 even after facing most of Animal Crossing's biggest weeks.  That's amazing!  Software in 2020 was all about Animal Crossing and nothing else.  Switch basically had several small to medium titles for the rest of the year.  NSW 2021 is guaranteed to have better software in its second half compared to NSW 2020.

I can't wait to see what they'll reveal at E3.  At this point, I'm already convinced Switch will sell 30m+ this year.  I just want to know if they are going to sell a bit over 30m or if they'll go several million over that.  On top of that there's a new hardware revision on the way.  Just think about that.  NSW 2021 is already outpacing NSW 2020 during the best Animal Crossing weeks and there is still a hardware revision to come.  Switch is definitely setting the annual sales record this year.

Yeah. Well the only huge thing we know for sure is Pokemon D/P remake. But we know BotW2 and new Switch model are coming at some point in the not too distant future. If we get the trifecta of new model + BotW2 + Pokemon this year 30 million is for sure going down. Even with just Pokemon there's a good chance it sells right around 30 mil. I almost kinda want to see Switch try to hit 30 million just with Pokemon for the holidays, and then see how much it can sell in 2022 with Pokemon Legends, Splatoon 3, BotW2, new model, and probably another big game - that'd be nuts.

At this point I am thinking they can sell 30m even if Pokemon D/P is the only big title for the rest of the year and no hardware revision (assuming there are plenty of small to medium titles though).  Switch 2021 has already had to go up against almost all of the big Animal Crossing weeks of 2020 and is still up YoY.  Switch sold 28.3m in 2020 with weak holiday software and lots of hardware shortages.  Considering that + Pokemon this year, I think 30m is guaranteed for 2021. 

So if on top of that we add in a hardware revision and another big title, like BotW2 or Mario Kart 9, then we are in one of these situations again where we ask, "how much can they supply?"  I do think it is very likely that they are going to have a very strong second half of the year, but it might just be so good that they run out of hardware again.  It's somewhat likely that demand will outstrip supply again this year, even with supply significantly over 30m Switches.