If Nintendo are serious about this being the "middle" of Switch's lifespan and give it til 2024 or later before replacement and a 3DS-style retirement where it still gets some noteworthy games after its successor, it passing PS2 becomes practically a mathematical inevitability.
With the new model and games like Pokemon Legends, Splatoon 3, and I suspect BOTW2 next year, I expect another 20 million plus year for 2022, and it's already charting to be over 100 million by the end of this year. After that, even if it drops sharply to say 15 million in 2023, it would only need to sell another 20 million from then until it's discontinuation to take the throne. I doubt its post-replacement legs will be as long as PS2, but they simply won't need to be.
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