How many units will Switch sell in Japan?

[tbone51]

brute said:

Lots of people suspect it will become the top seller of all time in Japan.
Crazy what 14 months worth of sales can do to change peoples mind!

I figured it could do DS numbers prior but I been deadest on 40mil since dec.

people need to realize NSW longevity and trajectory for its sales. NSW is at 20.04mil as of March. It could be 27-28mil (this is optimistic) by this time next year.

but let’s play it safe. Slighlty down FY and make it 6mil by end of FY22. 26mil surpassing 3DS. Drop it YoY for 4 years afterward by 40-45% each time lmao.... You get this

FY22: 6000k

FY23: 3600k -40% (splat3/Project Triangle/MP4/etc)

FY24: 1980k -45%

FY25: 1200k -40%  (NSW2 comes out which I doubt)

FY26+ 600k -50% 

total: 33.38mil

This EXAMPLE should open  people’s eye

.....