I think SWSH will reach around 27M and have better legs than Pokemon games on prior handhelds because each of the main series Pokemon games are different in artstyle (and this helps each of them actually) and the third version being DLC helps as well.
Ultimately, I still don't think SWSH will outsell RGB, but wouldn't rule it out totally. I think it will at least pass 25M. Kind of hard to imagine it not selling another 4 million over the next 5 years or so when even the 3DS main series games add a little bit to their total 5+ years later.
The only thing that could have hurt SWSH would have been a third version, but that obviously won't happen. Even a new generation on Switch (likely Holiday 2023) won't hurt it too much because SWSH has its own region and usually the initial generation sells more than the subsequent one.
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