Too early to tell, it started very well, but supplies problems are preventing launch year sales from reaching their full potential and some damage will be dragged to lifetime sales too. Anyway, as Sony sacrificed a lot of PS4 final years sales to free resources for PS5 launch, I expect it to try and make it outsell PS4 if it will be viable, that is, if it will show to be able to reach PS4 sales without forcing it with unprofitable moves, most probably Sony will keep on supporting its sales enough to outsell it by a decent margin, unless resources will be in short supply again for PS6 launch too.
125-130M if things go very well until the end (anything more would require things to go exceptionally well)
100-120M if things go well, but nothing to write home about and/or if PS6 launch will force Sony to cut PS5 late production too
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