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javi741 on 01 May 2021
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mk7sx said:
mk7sx said:

VGChartz Top Years W1-15

Adjustments push NSW 2021 Q1 up to 5,959K - biggest non-holiday quarter ever.  

Buffer over 2020 is now down to 644K and will be eaten away through week 19, but only needs to do 383K a week min to fall behind, so this buffer will hold.  From week 20 - 37, NSW 2021 should have the advantage as 2020 succumbs to supply issues.  

-Healthy signs right now that NSW 2021 will enter the shopping season in Q4 with a buffer over 2020.

-NSW needs to average 454K per week to match Q2 2020

-NSW needs to average 464K per week to hit 12M by the halfway point of week 26

-NSW needs to average 388K per week for the next 8 weeks to be the fastest to 10M (23 weeks total; NDS 07 & NSW 20 did it in 24)

-7M will be achieved in W16 - fastest ever (NDS 07 & 08 & NSW 20 - 17 weeks)

-8M will likely be achieved in W18 - fastest ever (NDS 07 & NSW 20 - 19 weeks)

-VGC seems to be projecting US NPD April at 690-700K.

Added PS4 2017 since its above NSW 2019.  NDS 06 and 10 could be added too as they were >20M years - I'll consider it, but this list will eventually be dominated by NDS/NSW and everything else way behind.

Also added a rolling 52W calculation for NSW 2020 and 2021.  NSW 2021 finally hit NDS peak figures and crossed 29M mark in early March.  We might see it surge past that in June/July and crack 30M.  NDS peak is calendar year 2007 (2008 is 53W).

Made that data into a bar graph. I added the PS2's shipment data between Janurary 1st-March 31st of 2005 to be able to include every console in history. Unfortunately there's no sell-through data of the PS2'S first quarter anywhere on the internet so I decided to use shipments even though it is subject to be completely wrong when it comes to actual sell-through between that time period. Plus I did a little estimation for the PS2's shipment data since it doesn't include the time period between March 31st and April 17th. But other than that all the sell-through data is spot on.