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Eagle367 said:
Norion said:

Since 140 million is probably the minimum at this point it has a pretty decent shot right now.

2021: 25/102

2022: 19/121

2023: 12/133

2024: 5/138

2025+: 2/140

Even with this projection I'd say is really pessimistic it still gets to 140 so it just needs to do fairly better than that to beat the PS2 which isn't a massive ask.

Yup especially considering the switch is on lace to have the best year of any console. It's outpacing the best year of the DS. And more realistically:

2021: 29/106

2022: 24/130

2023: 15/145

2024: 6/151

2025+: 2/153

The legs are really important but switch has given us no reason to think it'll suddenly fall off a cliff. I even sorta cut it's legs shorter than I actually think.

Yeah it just needs to have a stronger holiday than last time and it has a nice shot of breaking the record. I think the Switch will fall into the 140-170 million range so that's a good middle projection.