So a little mix of Bold prediction with a more depth intill an analysis breakdown
Of course this will have to be checked on Yearly to see how far it progressed. First of all as of 2020, SSBU is at 5.17mil. This currently as of this writing makes it the 13th best selling game in japan (14 games sold over 5mil only) and on its way to make easily top 5 (yes I you read that correctly)
I’ll post extra information in the 2nd post (top selling japan games/etc) but this will contain only the smash information!
Lets begin!!!
***Facts: Shipment+Digital
FY19: 3530k
FY20: 900k
FY21: 740k + Q4*
Tot: 5170k
***Sell thru retail (Legs)
FY20 - 644k... (Q1-4: 148k > 149k > 207k > 140k)
FY21 - 583k... (Q1-4: 109k > 98k > 225k > 151k) *missing 1 more week
*** Comparison Legs
FY20: 644k Sell Thru vs 900k Ship+Digital
FY21: 583k Sell Thru vs 740k+???k (Q4 missing)
****** Prediction Time ******
-Note: Keep in mind, predictions are based off of NSW hardware with steady declines and no new Successor intill either 2024/2025... Enjoy!!!
Conservative Prediction:
FY21: 840k *100k for Q4
FY22: 590k (YoY -30%)
FY23: 360k (YoY -40%)
FY24: 220k (YoY -40%)
FY25: 90k (YoY -60%)
FY26+ 20k
Tot: 6.55mil
And the one you all been waiting for
BOLD Prediction:
FY21: 880k *140k for Q4
FY22: 800k (YoY -10%)
FY23: 560k (YoY -30%)
FY24: 450k (YoY -20%)
FY25: 270k (YoY -40%)
FY26+ 210k
Total: 7.6mil
.......
Last edited by tbone51 - on 03 April 2021
