Kakadu18 said:
Kai_Mao said:
I personally don’t know what to think of the PS5’s future performance. Sure, it’s significantly better now. But what about 2-3 years from now? Or 4-5 years? It’s interesting because: 1) software sales don’t appear to align with the hardware sales in Japan. Not a single PS5 in the top 30. Sure you can say “no digital,” but you can say that with a good amount of the games in the top 30, especially Nintendo games in which they don’t disclose digital sales on the weekly charts. 2) Will games like RE8, FFXVI, etc., make enough of a difference to maintain pace above PS4? The PS4 had all the big third party titles from Japan and it just missed the 10 million mark in terms of hardware sales. How does that happen? Especially when the Switch is completely out lapping the entire competition. And it’s not like games like DQ, FF, or MH are some nice quality franchises. Some would argue that their prestige is up there with the Mario’s and Pokémon’s in Japan. So much that we usually expect LTD sales in at least 1-2 million for new entries in these respective franchises. And now you have smaller Japanese titles no longer ignoring the Switch and the sales potential behind that user base. I guess the main goal would be to have the PS5 above 10 million LTD in Japan. But even then, I don’t know if that’s a guarantee. We’ll just have to see if hardware sales legs will last for PS5 beyond the launch year period. |
Final Fantasy has been declining in Japan for a long time now. FFXV sold just over 1 million copies. It's nowhere near even DQ anymore. If FFXVI sells more than XV I will be surprised. The PS5 will most likely sell less than the PS4 LT. I don't see any reason for it to do better. Starting with the PS3 the Playstation brand has seen a decline in Japan and with the Switch dominating the market I don't see the PS5 stopping this decline. My guess is the PS5 will sell 8mil at most. |
I feel like the reasoning of the Playstation brand has seen a decline in Japan is very similar to the arguement regarding nintendo home consoles that, if you ignore the wii they've just declined generation over generation.
It should be noted however I believe it is ok to use this argument for video game franchises, as they have more data points to look off of, which is why I agree about FFXVI probably not selling as well as FFXV, but we shall have to wait and see.
