The important thing is how much Capcom and retailers ordered for Week 2 and beyond, if next week Monster Hunter Rise drops only by 60% it would already be at 1.82M. By Week 3 it will become the 2nd best selling 3rd Party game on the Switch and also surpass 2 million sales. By the end of April, it will likely be the best selling 3rd Party game overtaking Momotaro.
Prediction Monster Hunter Legs
Week 1: 1300K
Week 2: 520K (-60%)
Week 3: 270K (-50%)
Week 4: 189K (-30%)
Week 5: 170K (-10%)
Week 6 - Golden Week: 204K (+20%)
TOTAL: 2.65M
With this optimistic prediction + digital it would already be the 3rd Best selling Monster Hunter title of all time.
Obviously, I think based on the launch Capcom won't be able to ship so much but interested to see how much they do actually ship and how legs hold up.
Launch sales mean nothing on the Switch Momotaro launched with under 400K and has sold 1.6M since than in less than half an year. For Rise, Golden Week, Obon, Decemeber are things yet to come, the game should surpass 3.5M by the end of the year physical alone.
Last edited by noshten - on 02 April 2021
