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IcaroRibeiro on 30 March 2021
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Kakadu18 said:
IcaroRibeiro said:

PS4 version 8.7 mi

PC version 5.9 mi 

Xbox version 1.8 mi

Ok with this breakdown I'm now sure Rise will outsell PS4 version by a comfortably margin 

Switch popularity in Japan will hardcarry console sales, JP sales for World were about only 3.2 million. Rise will easily double this number, yes I'm taking about over 6.4 million in Japan alone

Number outside Japan might be weaker for Rise than it was for world but I don't think they will decrease for anything less than 4 million after World selling over 5.5 million outside Japan (in PS4)

10 million for Switch version only is doable, and even 11-12 million is possible just harder 

PC version however I don't see performing as good as World. There is no value for PC owners in playing local co-op, World have better graphics and overall a more accessible approach for newcomers, I think part of PC gamers are more likely to skip Rise and wait for World sequel than console owners. It will probably sell well over 3 million copies still

So the low-end scenario for Rise is about 8-9 million on Switch plus a bit over 2 million on PC, essentially flopping outside Japan 

The realistic scenario about 11-12 million on Switch plus something over 4 million on PC.  Almost outselling World or outselling World, but barely 

And the very optimistic scenario about 14-16 million on Switch plus more 7 million copies on PC, this game mist outsell World in every market and every platform, possible but not see it happening 

MHR won't easily double MHW in Japan. It can, but it won't be easy, since the as of now best selling MH game in Japan is Portable 3rd with 4.8mil on the PSP and 300k on the PS3 from the HD version.

If MHR sells 6.4mil units in Japan on the Switch alone it would be by far the best selling third party game ever in Japan. I hope this happens, but it's nowhere near guaranteed.

No Monster Hunter was ever issued in a platform as popular as Switch is in Japan