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I find it very difficult. Never seen anything like Animal Crossing launch. It was just the perfect game at the perfect time (AC suits the pandemic lifestyle) on a system that was very appealing and still was not as saturated as it is now. I personally would be surprised if it sold way over 200k. I'm going with 180-200k range as a prediction

Just for reference: Switch sales during AC week is the highest week sales for the Switch ever. Genuinely unheard of a console weekly sales peaking with a game release. Usually sales peak either during launch or Christmas in Japan