Switch Data Analysis: May Update (NS has record best May Year 5)

[dmillos]

HigHurtenflurst said:

I don't think Monster Hunter would have had as big as an impact on hardware sales as Animal Crossing even without the lockdown boost (Japan maybe, but not worldwide) however it is definitely a system seller so should boost the numbers.

March-April-May are still pretty much guaranteed to be down YOY though if the weeks align... last year they were 4-4-5 weeks, I dont know how VGC determines which months are 5-weeks long so I think only chance of 2021 beating 2020 is if April is 5-weeks this time.

Come June we will be able to see better how well Switch is doing compared to last year, I suspect it will be down by ~ 500k-1million (but a better holiday period could mean similar sales for the full year)

This year is 5-4-4. This is why there might be a slight chance for the Switch to outsell March 2020, but April should be a massive fall. As for May, it needs to sell as much as it did last month (1.7M), so that is also possible. 

I agree with your estimate of it being down by about 1M after May. June - August could also go in favor of 2021. It is going to be a close race in my opinion.