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curl-6 on 28 January 2021
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JRPGfan said:
curl-6 said:

Australia records 10th day in a row of zero covid-19 cases, nation-wide:

So damn jealous.

In denmark we re down to ~600 infections pr day now (we hit 4000+ pr day during christmas periode), and we now down to 611 people hospitalised with covid. Even with 0,6% positivity rate, and a R0 value below 1 (~0.75), we re still worried.

We got that damn UK variant of the virus, thats 55-70% more infectious (and ~15-30% more deadly).
And dispite our R0 value being under 1 (so we get less new infections pr day), the R0 value of the new variant is still around 1,05 (100 infections = 105 new infected with variant).

This means our corona virus spread, is being taken over by the new strain.
So we need to stay in strick lockdowns for atleast another month, to get really low new daily infections numbers.
So the vaccines can do their job, and save us.

Also, denmark now has strick rules with travel (about damn time! we should have done this at the start of the outbreak).
We are now basically in total lockdown (border), your not getting in unless you have a clear purpose, and pass with a negative test. Also mandatory quarantine, and hefty fines/jailing if found to be breaking them.
The fear is getting the South African strain (which appears to get younger crowds more sick, and the vaccines dont appear to help as much against).
or the Brazilian versions (same thing, vaccines arn't as protecting against it either).

The UK version.... which sucks donkey balls (upto 70% more infectious), is still alot better than getting the South African/Brazilian ones.
We've been lucky, and havnt found either of these in denmark (we test every test, to determine strain type).

The one good thing about the UK version, is vaccines appear to be just as effective in protecting against it, as the old strain of the virus.
Getting spread of the south african/brazilian strains, could mean haveing to have a new vaccine developed + given to population.

I expect alot of nations will start haveing very tight controll over boarders, and testing people before granting entry.

Wishing you guys all the best; as someone with friends in both Europe and North America I'm acutely aware of how scary lucky we are.  At least now vaccinations have begun in many countries.

For all the suffering of the past year, it has also been demonstrated just how resourceful the human race can be when presented with a common problem like a new virus. In a little over 12 months we've gone from having no idea what we're dealing with to having multiple proven vaccines, that's a hell of a feat of medical science.

It's far from over, but it feels like the tide is starting to turn; things won't get better overnight but they will get better.