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Jumpin said:
KingJames said:

Took PS2 and DS about 9-10 years to reach 150m. Switch will have to last just as long to do the same. If "Switch Pro" extends the lifecycle instead of being a complete next gen console, its a done deal.

About 85% of DS sales occurred in a 5 year window. 4 of those years sold an average of 27.5 million.

@Jumpin, I agree with you, the big bulk of sales are done in a short period of time, Especially when a successor comes along. I personally think that the 3ds probably hurt nintendo more than it helped it. If you look at the Total sales of DS+3DS, it almost seems like the 3ds just took the place of the down curve of the DS, making me wonder if maybe the DS could have sold the amounts the 3ds sold if it was never released.

Looking at the graph makes you wonder if it could have been possible that the DS sold almost 230 million (ds+3ds)... If you look at the 3ds it doesn't have sharp falls because there was never a new handheld only console...

@trunkswd  mentioned something very interesting the other day, it was that the release of the kinect gave the Xbox 360 great legs. The 360 sold almost as much in years 6-10 than in years 1-5. Also the XboxOne got released 8 years after the 360, while the 3DS got released 6.5 years after the DS. This leads me to believe that if the successor of the Switch comes in 2024, it should give the switch a great fighting chance for reaching 150.