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noshten on 18 December 2020
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Famitsu 2020 Top 20 Switch:

  1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo) - 6.103.801
  2. Smash Ultimate (Nintendo) - 3.926.512
  3. Pokemon Sword / Shield (Pokemon Co) - 3.923.239*
  4. Splatoon 2 - 3.636.490
  5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) -  3.344.534
  6. Super Mario Odyssey (Nintendo) - 2.157.081
  7. Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo) - 1.969.790
  8. Pokémon: Let's Go Pikachu! / Let's Go Eevee! (Pokemon Co) - 1.742.784
  9. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) - 1.704.639
  10. Super Mario Party (Nintendo) - 1.657.894 
  11. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 1.619.297
  12. Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo) - 1.005.111 
  13. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo) - 950.776
  14. Kirby Star Allies (Nintendo) - 832.423
  15. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 755.084
  16. Luigi's Mansion 3 (Nintendo) - 678.086
  17. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 565.655
  18. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'N' Fun! (Bandai Namco)- 522.289
  19. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 522.049
  20. 1 2 Switch (Nintendo) - 470.864

TOTAL: 38.088.398

THIRD PARTY TOTAL: 3.984.374

Famitsu 2020 Top 20 3DS:

  1. Animal Crossing: New Leaf (Nintendo) - 5.067.988
  2. Pokémon X / Y (Pokemon Co) - 4.478.300
  3. Pokémon Sun / Moon (Pokemon Co) - 3.822.728
  4. Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) - 3.591.334
  5. Yo-kai Watch 2 (Level 5) - 3.169.858
  6. Pokémon Omega Ruby / Alpha Sapphire (Pokemon Co) - 3.119.104
  7. Mario Kart 7 (Nintendo) - 2.874.900
  8. Monster Hunter Generations (Capcom) - 2.832.833
  9. Yo-kai Watch 2: Psychic Specters (Level 5) - 2.632.550
  10. Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (Capcom) - 2.617.803
  11. New Super Mario Bros. 2 (Nintendo) - 2.593.525
  12. Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS (Nintendo) - 2.558.302
  13. Pokémon Ultra Sun / Ultra Moon (Pokemon Co) - 2.513.588
  14. Yo-Kai Watch Busters (Level 5) - 2.167.915
  15. Super Mario 3D Land (Nintendo) - 2.111.490
  16. Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate (Capcom) - 1.941.106
  17. Tomodachi Life (Nintendo) - 1.903.290
  18. Dragon Quest XI (Square Enix) - 1.772.911
  19. Monster Hunter XX (Capcom) - 1.718.052
  20. Yo-Kai Watch 3 (Level 5) - 1.495.891

TOTAL: 52.469.880

THIRD PARTY TOTAL: 23.940.253

Wonder where things will end up by the end of 2022, but Nintendo with digital is selling much more on the Switch than it did on the 3DS. Third parties have a huge opportunity in the coming years to really start to profit from this momentum - as we've seen this holiday with Momotaro. Outside of the Lite model there has been no price cuts for the hardware in Japan, so there is still additional ways for Nintendo to actually keep momentum outside of steady line-up for 2021. Overall the Switch will surpass 3DS hardware by the end of 2022. As I've commented I think despite New Horizon, next year is shaping up to be the peak year for hardware sales for the Switch due to a much more varied line-up that would enable Switch to build up a lead in the first two quarters. Also I doubt the holiday will be lacking a huge game like it was this fall. 

In terms of New Horizon, Ring Fit and other evergreens they still have a couple of more years worth of sales within them, only candidate for a sequel is Splatoon and even that is pretty doubtful considering the game hasn't officially launched in China. 

Last edited by noshten - on 18 December 2020