To give you guys context on how many Switches usually ship during the holiday season, Imma list down how well the Switch did the past 3 Holiday Quarters
Keep in mind the holiday quarter is the time period between October 1st-December 31st
Holiday 2017: 7.23 Million Shipped
Holiday 2018: 9.41 Million Shipped
Holiday 2019: 10.8 Million Shipped (Although I like to point out the Switch was slightly over shipped in the 2019 Holiday)
Also, Imma show how other successful Nintendo systems did during the holidays like the Wii and DS, since it may apply to your predictions:
2007 DS Holiday: 11.14 Million (The Year It Sold 30 Million)
2008 DS Holiday: 11.89 Million (Year It Sold 31 Million)
2008 Wii Holiday: 10.41 Million (Year It Sold 25 Million)
2009 Wii Holiday: 11.31 Million (Year It Sold 20 Million, NSMBWii also came out this holiday)
TBH I'm leaning towards the Switch selling 13 Million this quarter, that may be a bit optimistic since I don't think any console in history sold more than the 11.89 Million DS quarter. However, unlike the DS, the Switch has been struggling to meet demand all year round and I'm sure Nintendo has been saving a lot of stock for this Holiday to meet that unmet demand. While the DS was selling like crazy in 2008 it was still pretty easy to get in stores so the holiday numbers were less inflated since supply was their year round. Also, based off the past several Switch holiday seasons it seems like the Switch is a much better holiday console than the DS, not in terms of raw sales numbers, but in terms of growth. The Wii/DS's sales numbers between the regular season and the holiday season never really grew as exponentially as the Switch, so this makes me believe the Switch will sell much better than those consoles this holiday.
