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curl-6 said:

I had PS4 pegged for 130-140 million but it doesn't look like it's going to get there now.
Switch is harder to call as it all depends on just how long until its successor comes out, which could be anytime from 2022 to 2024 or possibly even later.

At the rate the baseline has been dropping, I’m not so sure anymore if 120 million is a safe bet. I think keeping the price at $300 for so long has done more damage to the PS4’s legs because now people can just jump to the PS5 Digital version at $400 since it’s backwards compatible anyway. They might as well just jump straight to next gen. 

And I don’t think we’re getting a Switch successor any sooner than March ‘23. That’s the very earliest we should expect it to arrive, and even then, I think that’s unlikely. I think March ‘24 - 7 years, is the more likely scenario.