I did not do the math on PS4/XBO, but it looks like NSW may be slightly under-tracked in Europe on VGC for October? Not sure which exact markets the EMEAA reporting covers, but they say NSW is up 77% YoY in October 2020 vs. 2019.
VGC's 4 October weeks come out to 335K in 2019 and 570K in 2020, which is up 7%. So if the 77% figure fits in here, there are 20-25K additional units to be accounted for.
Also, we know that the US market has been up a bit stronger over 2019 than Europe as a whole. October 2019 NPD was 309K. The same increase in the US gets us to 546K, so we could be going higher than that.