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Keep in mind that while Nintendo has bombed their home consoles in the past, their track record with handhelds have been A LOT better. The closest Nintendo came to failing with a handheld was the 3DS, but that was mainly due to poor initial pricing. The 3DS was actually a very well-performing handheld overall given the stiff competition it had at the time from the smartphone gaming craze, and the hype from that has largely dissipated now in 2020. If Nintendo's only competition is the open market for gaming, Nintendo can easily win because it offers strict quality control that attracts gamers who get turned off by scams and microtransaction (this is true today as much as it was in the 80's).

The big issue I could see for Nintendo in the near future would be if Sony releases a competing crossover platform. Sony has been Nintendo's biggest thorn since the 90's and is the only company that seems able to really whip Nintendo at its own game in certain circumstances. I think after the Vita, though, Sony is probably content with not competing against Nintendo in the handheld market for a while.

I would say that it's Nintendo's to lose for the next generation and a half, after that who knows.