Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

[Bofferbrauer2]

JWeinCom said:

jason1637 said:

Well 2018 midterms showed that a lot of Trump support stayed abouy the same. Covid happened this year so that could have a big impact but Republicans still have a lot of anticipation so I expect him to be either down up to 1m or up 1m. I think Biden wins 5-6m and third parties down a bit.

I really don't know about that...

In the Senate, the Republicans picked up seats, but only 1/3 of the seats of are up for reelection in any midterm election, and they happened to be in red states. 

Meanwhile, in the Congress race, which is nation wide, democrats had 53% of the vote, compared to 45% for republicans. This was a huge swing from 2016, where they won by about 1%. You'd have to think some of that reflects on Trump's appeal.

Speaking of the Senate, Democrats are now poised to flip the Senate this year, too:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/

Still remember how the Republicans were sure they were safe as they thought most of their states that were up for reelection were too red to be flipped. Well, would you just look at that:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections#Predictions

While the Republicans will flip Alabama's special election seat as was expected beforehand, the Republicans are loosing states they really didn't expect to loose. Here's a little list of states that are expected to be flipped:

• Arizona (special)
• Colorado
• Maine
• North Carolina
• Iowa

Which would give the democrats 51 seats and thus the majority already even without the VP. Add to this the possibility of both Georgia elections become democratic as both are tossups, the republicans will probably loose everything this election.