Your lifetime sales expectations for Xbox Series X|S?

[Bofferbrauer2]

padib said:
I'm going with high numbers. We know that MS at its worst like with XboxOne are at 50M (I'm not counting the first xbox for obvious reasons). When the xbox is at its best, it sells 84M (Xbox360).

What is going to happen is a tug-of-war between two forces:
Against high numbers: very strong competition from Sony (Marketing, exclusive games)
Pro high numbers: excellent console price, excellent service price (gamepass), great console specs for price, good form factor (esp. Japan), ease of access, new exclusives (Bethesday, new studios), choice of strength (S vs X)

I believe that, while the 360 strived on the back of the PS3, the Xbox Series S|X will thrive on top of Sony's success. This is due to the excellent proposal MS was able to produce this generation, with all the ducks lining in a row on the management end at Microsoft. For that reason, rather, I believe that XB will eat into PS sales rather than the opposite.

I expect both the XB and PS to sell at a common level of 100M, with MS gaining marketshare and Sony losing Marketshare, with Nintendo far above the two with the Switch and its soft successor.

For 3 Generations now, Playstation + Xbox together always made up around 175M. Unless they can expand their market beyond their usual customers, I don't see them going up to 200M.

I do agree that Xbox will do better and Sony do worse than this gen. But my expectations lie around 85M for each of them, not 100M