| haxxiy said: Boa Vista had 25% seropositivity months ago, so I'd assume this 8% is at least five times underreported, even though it's probably the highest anywhere in the world for PCR tests. By the way, today we have results from Maranhao from over 3,000 random blood samples, showing the state at 40,4% seropositivity: https://jornaldebrasilia.com.br/brasil/incidencia-de-covid-19-no-maranhao-chega-a-404-a-maior-taxa-do-brasil/ I'd assume most states from the North and Northeast, and Rio, have similar numbers. |
Pernambuco estimated numbers according to some frameworks are from 600 to 800 thousand cases, roughly 5-7 times the reported numbers. I don't think we can get herd immunity with only 10% contamination rate though, so here the odds of a new outbreak (less deadly than the first of course) are strong
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