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curl-6 on 16 August 2020
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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

I always kinda expected the back-and-forth Double Helix Dance to continue for PS4 and Switch for years to come until eventually PS4 pulled ahead due to longer legs.

If Nintendo can just kick their habit of abandoning their consoles too early, I'm no longer so sure PS4 is guaranteed to win in the end.

What do you mean by habit? It's basically only the Wii (without a doubt in all aspects) and the DS (hardware-side only, namely the steep 3DS price drop which cut into the legs of the DS) where you can talk about too early. Their other consoles were supported in sufficient manner, and in the latest example of the 3DS, beyond the point of sufficient.

By the way, how's your PS4 lifetime sales expectation of minimum 130m going? Sony is now forecasting an LTD of a good 119m by March 2021, with only 9m PS4 consoles expected to be shipped during this fiscal year.

It's now looking even more likely than before that the 8th gen console with the highest sales after the launch of its successor will be the 3DS.

I'm sticking with my 130 million estimate for now. Sony's 9 million forecast seems like a hell of a lowball seeing as they sold what, 4 million in the last reported quarter? I mean, Nintendo is currently forecasting 19 million for the FY depsite that being absurdly low. Companies lowball sometimes to err on the side of caution. Better to adjust up than down after all.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 16 August 2020