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The Switch is gonna have at least a 25 million year and potentially a 27-28 million one which is several million higher than the PS4's highest year and after the next couple quarters will have a big lead. It'll also be the second highest a year a system has ever had beating the Wii's highest. At this point it's pretty likely it does and if has a good 2021 then it becomes most likely. It's no longer reasonable to think there's no possibility of it happening. If Nintendo doesn't screw up the floor for the Switch should now be about 120 million which is not that far from what the PS4's lifetime sales will be. The floor just needs to be exceeded by about 10-15 million to make it very likely it gets outsold.