RolStoppable said:
10m is more than 50/50 now. At least 80/20 in favor of getting there. 12m remains a tall order. I keep seeing news on my Switch that the game is getting regular updates, so that helps the game to keep getting talked about and lure in even more customers. But 12m is also ~10% of Japan's population, so... ...I am thinking about your "Switch will outsell the DS in Japan" thread where I said that's possible. With hardware sales like that, it isn't unthinkable for a game to sell 12m. 7.15m in the books, regular updates with who knows what's left to come, so I'll upgrade 12m lifetime to a 40/60 chance now. By now your "SSBU to sell 25m lifetime" prediction looks like a piece of cake, something else that I considered impossible. Switch and its games are doing really great. |
The only way it’ll hit 12mil or above is with constant updates (similar to Splatoon) for 2-3years. As well as the bundles which imo AC is the best game for japan. AC is currently selling great but even much better due to the NSW shortages and AC being a good amount of it bundled.
i predicted 8.3mil for the year and that will be destroyed. 9mil is looking like a possibility now, AC in Q3 could be 1mil but we will see. Obon coming up and AC bundle can push the game.
as for the DS thread, yeah NSW sells 30mil that means 10mil+ sales from 2021 and later. Out of that number only 2-3mil have to purchase AC which we all know has the best legs in japan. 40/60 is good odds I’ll take it.
SSBU doin 25mil is great, I want 30mil but too soon to tell yet. After last quarter it’ll make it. The biggest unknown is how high AC and MK will go. Both will be 40mil at this point though
