IcaroRibeiro on 07 August 2020
| UnderwaterFunktown said: Well I've predicted that MK8DX will hit 50 mil and while it's certainly not impossible I don't see AC going quite that high. AC will probably overtake it in sales by the end of the year, but I expect MK8DX to retake the lead somewhere far down the line. |
40 million is fairly doable, but 50 million?
Current attachment rate for MK8 is 42% and it's decreasing, not increasing. For the last 4 quarters the attachment rate for MK8 was 36%, looking to this trend I'm guessing something more like 32-34% for the next years. For MK8 sell 50 million with a 32-34% attachment rate Switch will need to sell from 147 to 156 million copies
And I don't think it's a realistic prediction for Switch
The other possibility is MK8 having crazy legs, about 1.5 million for each quarter in the next 4 years even in the years of Switch's death and finish its run with about 40% of attachment hate
If anything, MK8 will end over 40 million, but behind 50 million
