javi741 said:
I've always thought the Switch would outsell 100M, I was always like 95% sure it would. The 5% of doubt I always had that kept me from saying it's guaranteed is knowing how much the Wii fell off a cliff. I knew the Switch likely wouldn't fall off a cliff like the Wii did because the Switch's sales are still growing YoY in it's 4th year compared to the Wii which started declining during its 3rd year meaning the Switch would have a later peak thus a longer lifespan, plus the Switch would get more software support than the Wii with Nintendo combining software teams on one system, plus the tons of new iterations the Switch would likely get. However, despite all this, I could never really completely discount that 5% possibility that it does fall off the cliff. However, after this quarter I completely disregarded that possibility. |
I just don't get the 95% and 93% on Wii and PS1 haha. Do you really think it is guaranteed to break 100 million but not guaranteed to hit 101 or 102 million? It'll probably be passing Wii and PS1 roughly around summer of 2022, which is likely a year and a half or more before a successor comes out.
