Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Bofferbrauer2]

SvennoJ said:

Barozi said:

I did some research the other day on Spain and while their official numbers weren't that great, they were nowhere near ~1400 cases in one day.

Closer to ~600/day.

I also read on Worldometer that they are combining results of PCR and antibody tests, which could explain the difference. But those people are no longer infectious and thus the numbers probably look more worrying than they really are.

The past three days haven't been that great either in Germany. Around 500 cases a day. Definitely going up a little.

I see, they're still doing that, or doing it again. Their sudden decline in deaths departing the curve from Italy and France is still weird. Another country that has successfully obfuscated the numbers.

Not so sure about that.

Here in Luxembourg, the numbers have been rising for over a month now, with peaks of over 100 cases in a day. Yet the hospitalizations are growing much slower than they did during the first wave, the number of people in ICU have stayed below 5 and we only got a single new dead, an 89 year old man, since the numbers have gone up again.

By comparison, during the first wave at a similar moment in time (similar number of infected on a 7-day average), we already had 6 deaths, 7 persons in ICU and over 120 persons in standard care compared to 35 today. The latter is especially striking, since originally the number of hospitalized people shot up very fast, but this time around it's a very slow increase, so much that the numbers from Friday are just 2 more than last Sunday.

In other words, the low numbers may very well be legit. Either the virus got weaker or treatments have improved enough to keep the number of deaths very low. Also, don't forget that there's a delay between infections and deaths.