WORSE Case Scenario: Switch is Still Going to Past 110mil, So why you think Under 130mil?

[tbone51]

JRPGfan said:

PAOerfulone said:
FY1 2.74mil - 2.74 million
FY2 15.05mil - 17.79 million
FY3 16.95mil - 34.74 million
FY4 21.03mil - 55.77 million

FY5 (03/21) 25.00mil - 80.77 million
FY6 (03/22) 21.00 million - 101.77 million (Breath of the Wild 2 + Price cut: $150 - Switch Lite; $250 Hybrid)
FY7 (03/23) 17.00mil - 118.77 million (Hardware revision + Pokémon Gen 9)
FY8 (03/24) 12.00mil - 130.77 million (Switch 2 releases)
FY9 (03/25) 4.00mil - 134.77 million
FY10 (03/26) 1.50mil - 136.27 million (Hardware discontinued)
FY11 and beyond - 0.30mil - 136.57 million

Final - 136.57 million units

You honestly think its 4 more years or longer, until Switch gets replaced by a Switch 2?
When nintendo themselves have already talked about a new Switch?

Also damn.... predicting sales 7years further out.
That far out you have very little reliablity because of how much things can change
(ei. things you predict get really unaccurate with predictions, when you go more than year or two).

Still admittedly that does end up with a total of 136m.

How many systems does nintendo have thats still made and sold new, 11 years out?

Tbf he put FY9-11 as 5.8mil. 3DS still sold a few million units after NSW came out (2017-2019)

that said let’s see your breakdown for FY5/FY6/FY7/FY8