Will the Nintendo Switch overtake the PS4 in terms of sales worldwide?

[tbone51]

JRPGfan said:

YanisFromFrance said:

Will it exceed the PS4 in terms of sales?

Does the Switch have another 60-70m sales left in it....  PS4 is going over 130m imo.
Its a tough question, it *might* get close.

Switch has had more than 40 months now on the market.
Sales are usually best in the early half of nintendo life cycles.
So even if it has another 40 months of life in it, it might strugle to hit another 60m unit sales.

Ontop of that Nintendo themselves have been talking about a Switch 2, resently.
I know its still a few years out probably...

However I suspect Switch will be replaced before it has a chance to reach PS4 sales numbers.

PS4 / NSW 

FY1 7.50mil / 2.74mil
FY2 14.80mil / 15.05mil
FY3 17.70mil / 16.95mil
FY4 20.00mil / 21.03mil

Tot: 60mil vs 55.77mil (Ps4 had an extra 4months)

FY5 19.00mil / 
FY6 17.80mil /
FY7 13.60mil

Tot: 110mil

Lifetime: ?125mil?

And NSW is going to be very high this FY and probably next, but I don’t get why people don’t see it and if they do then I don’t understand why they think sales will fall off a cliff?